Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (137-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 13-14 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 7-19 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Scoot Henderson * | 35 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 34 | 10-16 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle | 33 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kris Murray | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 43 | 15-31 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 32 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 9 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
* = starter