Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +15.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (130-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 37 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 25 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Devin Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 14-22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 38 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter