Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | β (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 35 | 12-21 | 3-9 | 11-12 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 39 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 28 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Drew Timme | 10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 36 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 2-12 | 0-8 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter