Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (128-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 11-21 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 46 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 27 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 24 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 36 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Will Richard | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Quinten Post | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 19 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
* = starter