Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (127-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Matas Buzelis * | 29 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 29 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Huerter * | 24 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Okoro * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 25 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 18 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Dalen Terry | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 17 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 13-27 | 1-7 | 9-12 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 41 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 12-22 | 5-11 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 36 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter