Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (136-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 10-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 12-17 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 24 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 37 | 10-16 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 13-20 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 27 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter