Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (142-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 26 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 41 | 19-28 | 9-14 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 53 | 31 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 21 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 44 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 23 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter