Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -7.0 | β (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -6 (116-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 39 | 11-16 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 8-9 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 29 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 34 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Yves Missi | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter