Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 11-23 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 31 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter