Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (127-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 42 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 16 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 30 | 14-24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 26 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Noah Penda | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jett Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter