Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +25 (129-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 25 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Quinten Post | 19 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Will Richard | 18 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gui Santos | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 28 | 12-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 15 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter