Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (109-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 39 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 8-10 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 33 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 43 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 7-20 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 36 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter