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2026-04-21

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (114-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 10-25 3-11 7-9 10 2 1 2 2 30 18 -
Jaden McDaniels * 37 7-15 0-3 0-1 2 3 0 0 3 14 1 -
Julius Randle * 36 7-14 2-4 8-10 9 6 0 0 1 24 24 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 6-9 4-7 0-2 7 6 1 0 2 16 19 -
Rudy Gobert * 27 1-4 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 0 2 2 6 -
Naz Reid 27 4-9 1-3 2-4 9 1 0 0 0 11 12 -
Ayo Dosunmu 22 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 9 9 -
Bones Hyland 9 4-5 3-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 13 10 -
Kyle Anderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
Mike Conley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 42 11-25 6-14 2-2 7 7 1 0 4 30 16 -
Nikola Jokić * 40 8-20 1-7 7-7 15 8 0 1 3 24 25 -
Aaron Gordon * 36 3-9 1-4 1-2 7 4 0 0 0 8 10 -
Christian Braun * 35 5-9 1-3 5-7 3 5 2 0 0 16 17 -
Cameron Johnson * 28 5-10 1-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 13 7 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 27 4-9 3-3 5-8 3 0 1 0 0 16 11 -
Bruce Brown 16 2-4 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Spencer Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jonas Valančiūnas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter