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Oklahoma City Thunder

Also known as: Oklahoma City Thunder
Program History

2026 Team Stats (75 games)

119.0
PPG
107.6
Opp
+11.4
Margin
48.5%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
81.7%
FT%
44.0
RPG
26.0
APG
12.0
TO
111.0
Pace
117.5
AdjO
106.9
AdjD
#1
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1159 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1197 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +65 elo More β†’ 1211 (#2) HCA +65 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More β†’ +14.4 (#1) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More β†’ +13.1 (#1) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.802 (#1) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.6 More β†’ 0.749 (#1) NetEff +10.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.2 More β†’ 0.742 (#1) AdjNet +9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More β†’ 0.743 (#1) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 117.5 | AdjD 106.9 More β†’ 0.723 (#1) AdjO 117.5 | AdjD 106.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 116.0 | AdjD 104.6 More β†’ 0.739 (#1) AdjO 116.0 | AdjD 104.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.797 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.792 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 86 More β†’ 1236 (#2) RD 71 | GP 86

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-10-21 vs HOU W 125 - 124
2025-10-23 @ IND W 141 - 135
2025-10-25 @ ATL W 117 - 100
2025-10-28 @ DAL W 101 - 94
2025-10-29 vs SAC W 107 - 101
2025-10-31 vs WAS W 127 - 108
2025-11-02 vs NOP W 137 - 106
2025-11-05 @ LAC W 126 - 107
2025-11-06 @ POR L 119 - 121
2025-11-08 @ SAC W 132 - 101
2025-11-09 @ MEM W 114 - 100
2025-11-12 vs GSW W 126 - 102
2025-11-13 vs LAL W 121 - 92
2025-11-16 @ CHA W 109 - 96
2025-11-18 @ NOP W 126 - 109
2025-11-20 vs SAC W 113 - 99
2025-11-22 @ UTA W 144 - 112
2025-11-24 vs POR W 122 - 95
2025-11-27 vs MIN W 113 - 105
2025-11-29 vs PHX W 123 - 119
2025-11-30 @ POR W 123 - 115
2025-12-03 @ GSW W 124 - 112
2025-12-06 vs DAL W 132 - 111
2025-12-08 @ UTA W 131 - 101
2025-12-11 vs PHX W 138 - 89
2025-12-14 vs SAS L 109 - 111
2025-12-19 vs LAC W 122 - 101
2025-12-20 @ MIN L 107 - 112
2025-12-23 vs MEM W 119 - 103
2025-12-24 @ SAS L 110 - 130
2025-12-25 vs SAS L 102 - 117
2025-12-28 vs PHI W 129 - 104
2025-12-30 vs ATL W 140 - 129
2026-01-01 vs POR W 124 - 95
2026-01-03 @ GSW W 131 - 94
2026-01-05 @ PHX L 105 - 108
2026-01-06 vs CHA L 97 - 124
2026-01-08 vs UTA W 129 - 125
2026-01-10 @ MEM W 117 - 116
2026-01-12 vs MIA W 124 - 112
2026-01-14 vs SAS W 119 - 98
2026-01-16 @ HOU W 111 - 91
2026-01-18 @ MIA L 120 - 122
2026-01-19 @ CLE W 136 - 104
2026-01-21 @ MIL W 122 - 102
2026-01-24 vs IND L 114 - 117
2026-01-26 vs TOR L 101 - 103
2026-01-28 vs NOP W 104 - 95
2026-01-30 @ MIN L 111 - 123
2026-02-02 @ DEN W 121 - 111
2026-02-04 vs ORL W 128 - 92
2026-02-05 @ SAS L 106 - 116
2026-02-07 vs HOU L 106 - 112
2026-02-10 @ LAL W 119 - 110
2026-02-12 @ PHX W 136 - 109
2026-02-13 vs MIL L 93 - 110
2026-02-21 vs BKN W 105 - 86
2026-02-22 vs CLE W 121 - 113
2026-02-25 @ TOR W 116 - 107
2026-02-26 @ DET L 116 - 124
2026-02-28 vs DEN W 127 - 121
2026-03-02 @ DAL W 100 - 87
2026-03-04 @ CHI W 116 - 108
2026-03-05 @ NYK W 103 - 100
2026-03-08 vs GSW W 104 - 97
2026-03-09 vs DEN W 129 - 126
2026-03-12 vs BOS W 104 - 102
2026-03-15 vs MIN W 116 - 103
2026-03-17 @ ORL W 113 - 108
2026-03-18 @ BKN W 121 - 92
2026-03-21 @ WAS W 132 - 111
2026-03-23 @ PHI W 123 - 103
2026-03-25 @ BOS L 109 - 119
2026-03-28 vs CHI W 131 - 113
2026-03-29 vs NYK W 111 - 100
2026-03-31 vs DET W 114 - 110
2026-04-03 vs LAL W 139 - 96
2026-04-05 vs UTA W 146 - 111
2026-04-08 @ LAL W 123 - 87
2026-04-09 @ LAC W 128 - 110
2026-04-11 @ DEN L 107 - 127
2026-04-13 vs PHX L 103 - 135
2026-04-19 vs PHX W 119 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 69 32.7 31.0 4.3 6.6 1.4 0.8 2.2 19.4 22.5 - - - 55.0 38.1 88.0 - 66.2 59.3
Jalen Williams SF 34 27.9 17.2 4.7 5.5 1.2 0.3 1.9 13.6 13.4 - - - 48.8 30.5 84.0 - 56.4 51.5
Chet Holmgren Chet Holmgren C 70 28.4 17.1 8.9 1.6 0.6 1.9 1.5 11.3 17.4 - - - 55.6 36.1 79.5 - 65.4 61.3
Ajay Mitchell Ajay Mitchell G 58 25.3 13.5 3.4 3.6 1.3 0.3 1.4 10.3 10.3 - - - 48.4 35.6 87.0 - 58.6 53.8
Isaiah Joe Isaiah Joe G 72 20.8 11.0 2.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.6 7.7 7.5 - - - 45.4 42.2 89.4 - 65.6 62.1
Jared McCain Jared McCain G 31 17.2 10.3 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 8.2 4.6 - - - 46.1 39.0 85.3 - 59.1 56.9
Aaron Wiggins Aaron Wiggins G 66 21.0 9.3 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.4 1.2 8.2 5.9 - - - 43.1 35.4 73.6 - 53.8 52.0
Isaiah Hartenstein Isaiah Hartenstein C 48 23.6 9.2 9.4 3.5 1.0 0.8 1.7 6.2 15.9 - - - 62.7 0.0 61.0 - 63.5 62.7
Payton Sandfort Payton Sandfort - 4 15.5 8.8 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 6.5 4.8 - - - 50.0 41.2 50.0 - 63.0 63.5
Cason Wallace Cason Wallace G 78 26.0 8.5 3.1 2.6 2.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 8.1 - - - 43.3 34.8 80.9 - 53.8 51.9
Luguentz Dort Luguentz Dort G 70 26.3 8.3 3.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.8 7.6 6.0 - - - 38.5 34.4 75.9 - 52.4 50.8
Jaylin Williams SF 66 19.0 7.2 5.5 2.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 5.4 9.8 - - - 42.3 38.1 79.3 - 59.6 56.2
Kenrich Williams Kenrich Williams G 57 14.6 6.4 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 5.2 5.8 - - - 47.2 38.2 63.5 - 56.7 55.5
Alex Caruso Alex Caruso G 57 17.6 6.1 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.8 5.3 6.3 - - - 42.2 29.1 80.4 - 53.8 51.0
Branden Carlson Branden Carlson C 42 11.1 5.8 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.4 4.4 5.4 - - - 52.7 36.0 57.7 - 61.3 61.0
Nikola Topić PG 11 14.5 4.7 1.7 4.1 0.5 0.0 2.3 4.6 4.1 - - - 43.1 40.0 40.0 - 48.9 49.0
Ousmane Dieng Ousmane Dieng F 27 10.5 3.7 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 3.4 3.0 - - - 41.8 36.7 100.0 - 53.4 51.6
Chris Youngblood Chris Youngblood G 32 4.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.9 1.5 - - - 33.3 31.4 90.0 - 50.5 46.7
Brooks Barnhizer Brooks Barnhizer F 40 8.2 1.7 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.8 2.6 - - - 38.0 29.2 70.0 - 45.1 43.0
Buddy Boeheim Buddy Boeheim - 4 3.2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG