Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | β (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (125-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 38 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 18 | - |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bronny James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jared McCain | 17 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter