Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 43 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 33 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 34 | 10-22 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| JD Davison | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 26 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 29 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 26 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jared McCain | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter