Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.7 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (116-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Branden Carlson * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 28 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Cam Spencer * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 27 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 28 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| GG Jackson | 21 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter