Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +24 (126-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 19 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Will Richard | 22 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Moses Moody | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Gui Santos | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 9-9 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 29 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter