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2026-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - ✓
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +13 (116-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 6-17 2-5 5-10 6 5 1 1 6 19 9 -
Julius Randle * 35 11-18 3-5 7-8 7 6 0 1 1 32 27 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 6-9 4-7 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 16 16 -
Rudy Gobert * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 4 2 4 -
Jaden McDaniels * 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Ayo Dosunmu 32 7-9 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 18 11 -
Naz Reid 28 1-5 0-3 4-4 4 0 2 0 4 6 3 -
Bones Hyland 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 2 0 3 2 -
Kyle Anderson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 3 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 1 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Joe Ingles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jaylen Clark 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rocco Zikarsky 1 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 33 7-22 2-4 4-5 3 10 2 1 1 20 13 -
Chet Holmgren * 32 9-13 1-4 2-2 9 2 3 1 0 21 23 -
Ajay Mitchell * 26 4-13 1-4 2-2 5 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 2 1 0 13 -
Luguentz Dort * 17 0-4 0-2 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
Cason Wallace 25 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 7 3 2 0 4 18 -
Isaiah Joe 21 8-14 4-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 20 9 -
Alex Caruso 21 6-10 1-3 4-4 2 1 3 0 0 17 13 -
Jaylin Williams 18 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 5 2 -
Jared McCain 17 5-10 5-9 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 15 6 -
Aaron Wiggins 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter