Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -9 (110-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 24 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 27 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared McCain | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Austin Reaves | 28 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter