Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | β (31.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +43 (139-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LaRavia * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 8 | - |
| LeBron James * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 18 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Bronny James | 17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 12-25 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jared McCain | 11 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter