Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 14-27 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 21 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jared McCain | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 12-21 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jett Howard | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 18 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Noah Penda | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter