Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (109-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 24 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 20 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 12-23 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter