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2026-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% - ✓
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 ✓ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 77.5% 22.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers -18 (110-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 32 7-12 0-1 4-4 6 6 2 0 3 18 17 -
Chet Holmgren * 31 10-13 3-4 7-10 14 5 2 4 2 30 40 -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 30 9-17 2-6 0-1 1 11 1 1 3 20 14 -
Luguentz Dort * 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 6 7 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 19 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 0 10 14 -
Ajay Mitchell 24 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 7 6 -
Isaiah Joe 22 6-9 4-7 5-5 2 2 0 0 0 21 16 -
Cason Wallace 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 -
Alex Caruso 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jaylin Williams 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Jared McCain 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Aaron Wiggins 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Kenrich Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 30 6-12 3-5 1-3 6 3 0 0 1 16 12 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 30 4-9 2-5 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 11 8 -
Kawhi Leonard * 30 8-18 2-5 2-4 8 3 1 0 3 20 11 -
John Collins * 27 5-11 1-3 1-3 9 3 3 0 3 12 13 -
Kris Dunn * 26 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jordan Miller 29 6-11 1-4 3-4 3 6 0 0 1 16 13 -
Bennedict Mathurin 23 3-8 0-1 4-4 2 2 1 0 2 10 5 -
Kobe Sanders 23 5-8 3-4 4-4 2 1 2 1 1 17 14 -
Cam Christie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
TyTy Washington Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 1 0 0 5 -
Nicolas Batum 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter