Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 92.8% | 7.2% | -14.1 | β (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -17 (109-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 26 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 25 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 25 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 25 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 24 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter