Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | β (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +7 (104-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 39 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nate Williams | 8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 14-15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Isaiah Joe * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 19 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jared McCain | 12 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter