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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 2.3% 97.7% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.0 (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 22.5% 77.5% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% -
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% -
Points Off/Def 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (114-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 9-20 2-6 1-3 6 6 0 0 1 21 12 -
Aaron Nesmith * 36 7-14 3-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 17 11 -
Andrew Nembhard * 36 10-16 4-7 3-4 7 11 0 0 3 27 26 -
Johnny Furphy * 33 2-9 0-3 0-0 10 3 1 1 0 4 10 -
Jarace Walker * 30 8-15 3-6 7-11 4 3 2 0 2 26 18 -
Micah Potter 24 4-9 2-7 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
T.J. McConnell 18 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 6 4 -
Ben Sheppard 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Isaiah Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 2 0 4 -
Jay Huff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 35 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 17-28 1-4 12-12 4 4 1 1 1 47 28 -
Chet Holmgren * 33 8-14 2-4 7-8 13 3 0 3 0 25 30 -
Cason Wallace * 30 3-7 3-4 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 10 11 -
Isaiah Joe * 30 2-7 0-5 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
Kenrich Williams 28 5-8 0-2 2-3 7 4 1 1 0 12 17 -
Jaylin Williams 21 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 4 2 6 -
Ousmane Dieng 13 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 7 7 -
Branden Carlson 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Brooks Barnhizer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter