Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | β (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -23 (108-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 7-20 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 29 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jared McCain | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 29 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bronny James | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter