Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 37 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 19-23 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 46 | - |
| Kris Murray * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Love | 19 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Duop Reath | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter