Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (132-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 26 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Max Christie * | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 15 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 31 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 23 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter