Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | β (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 3-20 | 1-11 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 4-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Yves Missi | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-22 | 0-3 | 13-14 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 24 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter