Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Drew Eubanks * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 31 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 12-24 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 10-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter