Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -12 (112-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 13-21 | 5-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 25 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Will Richard * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 28 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 26 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 21 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Quinten Post | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Seth Curry | 17 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 15 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter