Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Paul Reed * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Javonte Green * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 26 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 40 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 21-25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 34 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jared McCain | 14 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter