Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 48 | 12-24 | 5-8 | 10-11 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 32 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 47 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 41 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Clint Capela | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 47 | 12-26 | 1-9 | 10-14 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 45 | 2-12 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 41 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 38 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 14 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter