Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (91-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 22 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 7-23 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Steven Adams | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| JD Davison | 20 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 19 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Green | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter