Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | β (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +11 (140-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 39 | 11-24 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 22 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Asa Newell | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 15-24 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 26 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 33 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter