Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spencer * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 32 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 24 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 20 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| GG Jackson | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jahmai Mashack | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-20 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Branden Carlson * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 22 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter