🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +29 (124-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 33 2-7 2-6 0-2 7 4 0 0 5 6 5 -
Deni Avdija * 31 5-14 1-4 6-7 7 7 2 1 7 17 13 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 5-17 0-2 4-4 4 1 3 0 3 14 2 -
Sidy Cissoko * 27 7-10 5-7 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 19 10 -
Donovan Clingan * 17 2-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Caleb Love 30 4-12 2-7 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 10 7 -
Kris Murray 25 3-5 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 8 -
Robert Williams III 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
Rayan Rupert 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Yang Hansen 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Duop Reath 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 28 11-15 1-2 7-7 2 6 4 0 0 30 27 -
Cason Wallace * 26 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jalen Williams * 25 6-13 0-2 1-1 7 7 3 0 2 13 15 -
Luguentz Dort * 24 4-10 4-10 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 12 7 -
Chet Holmgren * 24 5-10 1-3 1-2 10 1 2 6 4 12 17 -
Ajay Mitchell 23 4-4 1-1 8-8 6 3 1 1 2 17 22 -
Aaron Wiggins 21 0-5 0-4 2-4 0 2 2 0 1 2 0 -
Isaiah Joe 19 5-10 5-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 15 7 -
Branden Carlson 19 5-9 2-6 0-2 7 1 0 1 2 12 10 -
Kenrich Williams 11 1-5 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 3 3 -
Alex Caruso 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
Chris Youngblood 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter