Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 14-22 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cason Wallace | 25 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 27 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter