Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.0% | 2.0% | -21.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -21 (111-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 17-27 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 21 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 32 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 30 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jared McCain | 28 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Will Riley * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 22 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 19 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Sharife Cooper | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter