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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +27 (122-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 26 2-6 0-3 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 4 9 -
Sidy Cissoko * 26 3-7 1-3 0-1 2 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
Jerami Grant * 24 6-8 3-4 6-6 3 2 1 0 4 21 15 -
Deni Avdija * 23 4-16 1-8 2-3 5 1 1 0 2 11 0 -
Donovan Clingan * 19 2-5 2-4 2-4 8 2 0 2 2 8 13 -
Kris Murray 27 3-9 0-3 3-4 7 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
Caleb Love 25 3-13 1-8 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 8 -3 -
Duop Reath 19 3-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 6 4 -
Yang Hansen 17 3-11 1-6 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 8 5 -
Rayan Rupert 15 4-7 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 10 7 -
Javonte Cooke 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 30 13-18 2-3 9-9 5 7 2 0 1 37 32 -
Cason Wallace * 26 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 7 2 -
Chet Holmgren * 25 2-8 0-3 1-2 9 4 0 3 3 5 10 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 22 3-9 0-0 1-2 14 3 0 3 2 7 16 -
Luguentz Dort * 20 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Isaiah Joe 23 3-7 2-6 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 10 6 -
Ajay Mitchell 23 8-8 2-2 2-4 1 4 2 0 2 20 17 -
Alex Caruso 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 5 8 -
Ousmane Dieng 14 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Jaylin Williams 14 1-3 1-2 2-4 2 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
Chris Youngblood 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Branden Carlson 8 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 8 8 -
Brooks Barnhizer 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -

* = starter