Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.6 | β (36.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -17 (93-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green * | 38 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 28 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Pete Nance | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Cam Thomas | 20 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Joe * | 28 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Kenrich Williams * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jared McCain | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nikola TopiΔ | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Buddy Boeheim | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter