Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -19.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -31 (101-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 40 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 12-20 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 27 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 25 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Drew Eubanks * | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Malik Monk | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Devin Carter | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter