Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -13 (87-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jared McCain | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 35 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 14 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
* = starter