Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (119-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 11-23 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 22 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter