Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 27 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 26 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 22 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 30 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter