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2026-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% - ✓
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 ✓ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - ✗
Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks -3 (100-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 9-16 1-1 7-7 3 8 1 0 3 26 19 -
Luguentz Dort * 32 4-9 3-8 5-6 4 1 0 0 3 16 9 -
Chet Holmgren * 32 11-19 6-11 0-0 8 2 0 0 3 28 16 -
Cason Wallace * 29 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 3 4 0 0 4 9 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 6 -
Isaiah Joe 23 0-5 0-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Jaylin Williams 18 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Aaron Wiggins 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jared McCain 15 1-5 1-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 1 -
Alex Caruso 11 1-1 1-1 0-2 4 1 2 0 1 3 8 -
Kenrich Williams 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 39 6-17 1-5 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 15 2 -
Jalen Brunson * 38 5-18 2-5 4-6 3 15 1 0 3 16 14 -
OG Anunoby * 37 6-17 4-13 0-0 3 0 3 2 3 16 4 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 7-8 0-0 3-4 17 1 0 0 0 17 27 -
Josh Hart * 24 4-11 0-3 2-2 12 3 0 0 1 10 13 -
Landry Shamet 31 5-9 0-3 4-5 3 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
Mohamed Diawara 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
Jose Alvarado 11 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
Ariel Hukporti 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 0 1 -
Jeremy Sochan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter