Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -27 (109-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Williams * | 19 | 11-12 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 23 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jared McCain | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Buddy Boeheim | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 23 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 26 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Koby Brea | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter