Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.7% | 99.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +19 (127-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 24 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 23 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bub Carrington | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Will Riley | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ajay Mitchell | 30 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 24 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Youngblood | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Carlson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter